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HomeBLOGFalse Narratives and Real Threats: What the Numbers Say About Crime, Immigration,...

False Narratives and Real Threats: What the Numbers Say About Crime, Immigration, and National Security

By Pat Trevino | July 12, 2025
As immigration headlines heat up, Americans are hearing familiar claims—from President Donald Trump pledging to deport “the worst of the worst,” to a sweeping narrative that migrants are flooding the country with violent crime. But behind the rhetoric lies a different picture painted by government data and law enforcement analysis: violent threats aren’t coming primarily from border crossings—they’re emerging from domestic extremism and organized drug cartels already embedded across the U.S.

Wharton, Texas Police Dept Drug Bust – Operation Lone Star has reportedly seized over 475 million lethal doses of fentanyl since 2021.

Detention Doesn’t Equal Danger
According to ICE data from late June 2025:

  • 71.7% of people currently detained had no criminal convictions
  • Of those with convictions, only 6.9% were for violent crimes
  • Nearly 84% of detainees were assigned no ICE threat level

Despite high-profile deportation promises, most of those detained are not gang members or violent offenders—they’re individuals swept up in enforcement efforts often without a history of criminal activity.

Domestic Extremism: The Under-Discussed Danger
While undocumented immigrants receive scrutiny, white nationalist groups pose one of the most lethal domestic threats:

  • The FBI and DHS have reported that white supremacists account for a disproportionate share of recent terrorism-related deaths
  • These groups are responsible for attacks on synagogues, Black churches, and LGBTQ
  • Their activity is ideologically motivated and often linked to hate crimes or paramilitary tactics

Drug Cartels: Quiet, Deadly, and Embedded
Transnational drug cartels like Sinaloa and CJNG operate far beyond border towns:

  • They traffic fentanyl, meth, heroin, and cocaine into rural and urban communities alike
  • Cartel operatives have been indicted for narco-terrorism, money laundering, and targeted killings
  • Law enforcement has confirmed incidents of cartels hacking surveillance feeds and spying on U.S. agents

These organizations aren’t arriving illegally—they’re expanding operations already rooted in U.S. soil.

Narratives vs. Numbers

Claim Data-Based Reality
Migrants are driving violent crime Most detainees have no convictions, few commit violent acts
Deporting “criminal aliens” targets gang members Majority arrested are not affiliated with gangs or high-threat networks
Immigration enforcement ensures national safety Domestic extremists and cartels pose greater threats but receive less attention

Time to Refocus
The disparity between public messaging and actual criminal data begs a shift in national conversation. Law enforcement leaders warn that focusing on low-level immigrant arrests can draw resources away from tracking true threats—like extremist violence and cartel networks.

The bottom line: Public safety can’t afford to be driven by politics. Data shows a different reality, and the nation deserves policies grounded in truth, not fear.

Children in chain-link enclosures at a McAllen, Texas detention center in 2019 — a haunting image of U.S. immigration policy. While this photo was taken during the Trump administration, similar facilities were built and used under the Obama administration. The cruelty of child detention transcends party lines.

Writer’s Note: We’re Losing Sight of What Matters
I’ve spent the last few days reviewing the data and observing various media outlets pertaining to this topic and there is one truth that is crystal clear. And that is our nations focus on the wrong threats. I have read what the experts are saying and what the raw data tells us.

The biggest threat facing our nation are domestic terrorist associated with white nationalist groups, and the drug cartels who already have their people embedded into mainstream society. While White Nationalists and Drug Cartel’s escalate their influence and perpetuate violence, billions of dollars and thousands of agents are directed toward immigration enforcement—toward families instead of the forces that are actually destabilizing our country.

Our deep political divide has paralyzed us—blinding us at the very moment when we need clarity, unity, and common sense.

This isn’t a dismissal of immigration as an issue. It’s an urgent plea to recalibrate. The numbers don’t lie; immigrants are not the threat. Yet immigration raids dominate headlines and budgets.  In the meantime, the actors truly undermining public safety grow stronger in the shadows.

This article comes from someone who’s seen the fallout of these misplaced priorities—not as an expert, but as a citizen watching our defenses weaken. We must face real threats with real solutions. That starts by recognizing who’s being protected… and who’s being targeted.

We need to refocus. Before the noise drowns out the truth. Before division reshapes us into something unrecognizable. -Pat Trevino

 

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